Monday 22nd June UPDATE: There is a very high KP index (Geomagnetic storm index), tonight, The Area Above the Earth is Now being Attacked by the Sun’s Storm, which means that both tonight & tomorrow night have a high chance of seeing the Northern Lights across the UK,! however more likely in the North, and cloud will be an issue. If it was Winter, my this would be amazing. Weather Summary: Clear tonight away from Eastern areas, Tomorrow night the best chance of clear skies is for Eastern areas (reverse etc) :)
Good afternoon folks. Knowing me I am a very keen watcher of the Sun – and my most recent viewings, well, I just can’t keep them within me, I have to share. I watched a huge radiation storm erupt on the 18th, the biggest I’ve seen for a while, is likely to spark an incredible show of Northern Lights. Sunspots are a result of the natural solar cycle (cycle of high & low levels of solar activity (sunspot number), a large cluster of sunspots together is like “really pushing” the sun, causing a high number of concentrated charged particles to hit the Earths magnetosphere, millions of feet up, and because these particles are charged – they are attracted to the polar areas. When the charged particles hit molecules natural found in the stratosphere, they are excited, and a release of energy causes the Northern lights to occur. The measure of “Sun Storm” activity given off can provide good data for forecasting when this event is likely to occur. The image below shows the movement of the Storm travel through the solar system towards the sun, aliens better watch out for some stormy weather ;)…
And The Solar Forecast By Tuesday Night Shows It Hitting Earth Causing A Large Light Show :)
At the moment we are expecting Northern parts of the UK to have the best chance of getting a glimpse of the show. The KP index (The KP index measures the amount of geomagnetic storm activity), will be at a level of 7/9, which is very high. This means that there is a very good chance of seeing the Lights across Northern parts. Now, the weather forecast for the UK During this period is going to be fairly good with a strong area of high pressure in charge, which means with clear skies it could be a very cool one. This event will be happening on the Summer solstice (the longest day of the year), which means that it could have some serious global effects on the atmosphere. In fact, this may “trigger” a change, it will probably allow the Atlantic to continue going into it’s cool phase, and is heralding the start of a “Seriously low” phase of solar activity forecast from 2019-2023, in which severe winters are possible in the United Kingdom & Europe.
Snow Cover at a “Record High” across Moderate Northern Latitudes.
Seasonable snow cover of course, is a huge reflection of weather and a large factor for the winter forecast. High levels of snow cover across Northern areas is probably due to record low levels of Arctic sea Ice, cold air will not just “disappear”, a warmer than average Arctic is because the colder air has seeped South into moderate latitudes. This is now starting to affect the UK, with temperatures during June and July expected to be “significantly below average” and “a very cold Atlantic”. The implications of this could be huge as we head towards Winter – not necessarily a very cold winter however. The last time snow cover was in record levels in the North of Europe was in the year of 2000, this before a cold winter. This is only one part of the puzzle, and more will be explained in my coming blog updates for 2015-2016, do you want a cold & snowy winter this year?